Mathematical model used by FIFA predicts where Spurs will finish this season

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Image: SpursWeb

There is plenty of uncertainty at the moment around when the Premier League will exactly resume after the footballing calendar in the country was temporarily suspended due to the spread of the coronavirus.

The Premier League and the FA confirmed on Thursday that matches will not resume until April 30 at the earliest (Guardian).

As things stand, all clubs are completely in the dark over when the season will resume, while some are even unsure over which division they’ll be playing in next campaign or if they’ll be involved in European competitions.

According to a report in The Times, Julien Guyon, professor of mathematics at Columbia University has come up with an advanced statistical model to predict how the season will pan out by considering many variables such as the strength of opponent, and home and away form.

The model is reportedly used by FIFA use to compile their men’s and women’s international rankings.

As per the model, Tottenham are set to miss out on Champions League qualification with Chelsea predicted to bag fourth while Manchester United are expected to finish fifth.

Wolves and Sheffield United are projected to finish in the final two Europa League spots, while the model determines that Jose Mourinho’s men will have to be content with an eighth-place finish.

Spurs Web Opinion

There are too many variables in football for statistical models like this one to work, which is why I’m glad the season is likely to be played out rather than voided or projected statistically. I believe we have a decent shot at finishing fourth if we have all of our injured players back by the time the Premier Leaguer resumes.

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