It’s now just a month before the new season gets underway and transfers aside the question on every Spurs fans’ lips is will Tottenham finish in the top four this season and qualify for the Champions League? Here we take a look at how the bookies think Spurs will get on this season and we’ll see if we can exploit some of those odds.
With Mourinho back at Chelsea and Man City changing their manager and strengthening once again it looks as though Spurs are playing for fourth at absolute best despite some having higher aspirations in recent seasons. Arsenal look most vulnerable as has been the case for many years now but they are just 4/6 to finish in the top four whilst Spurs are 2/1. Most Spurs fans would surely agree that Arsenal deserve to be favourites of the two clubs as Spurs are yet to finish above Arsenal in the Premiership during Arsene Wenger’s reign. However there does look to be a bigger gap in the odds than there should be, reports of Arsenal spending big this summer are yet to bear fruit and Spurs have at least already made one big signing in the form of Paulinho. Arsenal only finished one point ahead of Spurs in the last two seasons so it’s hard to believe that Spurs should be so much bigger than Arsenal to finish in the top four.
Perhaps what is more alarming is some bookies have Liverpool at shorter odds to finish in the top four than Spurs (Liverpool are as short as 13/8 with some bookies) and the odds on a top three finish are even more disturbing, Liverpool are priced up at 10/3 with Ladbrokes to finish in the top three whilst Spurs are 9/2. Two seasons ago Spurs finished 17 points ahead of Liverpool and last season the gap was 11 points, meanwhile Liverpool are just 4/9 to sell top scorer and best player Luis Suarez which would damage their chances of finishing in the top six, never mind the top three.
Unfortunately Ladbrokes are yet to price up a match bet between Spurs and Liverpool but other bookies who have a bit more faith in Spurs have and Spurs are best priced 10/11 to finish above Liverpool this season which still looks a very generous price. Only the unlikely scenario of Bale leaving Spurs and Suarez staying at Liverpool might be enough to see Liverpool finish above Spurs and even then Liverpool might need to have been the team that signed Bale! Meanwhile Spurs are a top price 15/8 to finish above Arsenal this season and that’s pretty much the same bet as Spurs finishing in the top four at 2/1.
There is always a bit of a debate about whether Spurs fans would rather finish in the top four or win a trophy and according to the odds the former is much more likely. Out of the three cups the League Cup is deemed most winnable with Spurs at 10/1. An FA Cup win is 12/1 and the Europa League is 18/1 despite Tottenham being favourites for that competition. The players seemed much less interested in that competition than AVB did last season so that 18/1 shouldn’t appeal too much.
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