The stat that implies Spurs were never in the title race

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Dom Le Roy

Tottenham’s loss against Burnley on Saturday has raised serious questions about their ability to keep up with the front 2 in the title race. If Spurs had beaten Burnley they would have been just two points off Liverpool before the Reds took the field against Man Utd on Sunday.

However, Burnley deservedly won the game as they stifled Tottenham for most of the match and Pochettino’s substitutions failed to affect the game in a positive way.

If Spurs fans are being honest, they will admit that this result was coming as the team had gotten away with several lackluster performances not just recently but since the start of the season.

An alternate league table based on ‘expected goals’ in each of Tottenham’s games this season actually bears out how Spurs’ are in a slightly false position given their performances. Expected goals is a stat that calculates how much a team should have scored in each game based on the quality of their chances.

While the stat certainly has its shortcomings, it does seem to indicate that Tottenham’s performances this season have not matched their results.

According to talkSPORT, in the alternate table calculated through expected goals, Spurs sit in 4th position with 46.63 points compared to the 60 points they have managed to accumulate so far this season.

The alternate table also shows that Liverpool and Manchester City with 58.73 points and 63.34 points respectively have been the two best performing teams in the League this year as they sit well clear of the chasing pack.

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  1. I have a comment to add about Mr. T. A. Bharadway’s stat review about Spurs.
    Yet another negative and bias comment about Spurs. I thought all the teams started the season with zero points and yet Spurs are in third place on merit. What is this about Spurs performance not matching their results? So what?! What about all the other teams PERFORMANCES VS RESULTS? Where do you think they should be right now exactly were they are, based on performance?! What you’re saying is or you’re not saying is the other teams below Spurs should be above them. Well my friend goals win games. Spurs are in position because they scored the goals to get them there. Lets here your comments on the other teams. No, I don’t expect a reply from you because you know I am correct about you’re review and all the other jokers who have nothing but negative comments. You too my friend in my view are another BIASED individual who don’t like Spurs for no reason at all. My comment to you and all haters of Spurs, HAVE A BAD DAY.


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