The stat that implies Spurs were never in the title race

Tottenham’s loss against Burnley on Saturday has raised serious questions about their ability to keep up with the front 2 in the title race. If Spurs had beaten Burnley they would have been just two points off Liverpool before the Reds took the field against Man Utd on Sunday.

However, Burnley deservedly won the game as they stifled Tottenham for most of the match and Pochettino’s substitutions failed to affect the game in a positive way.

If Spurs fans are being honest, they will admit that this result was coming as the team had gotten away with several lackluster performances not just recently but since the start of the season.

An alternate league table based on ‘expected goals’ in each of Tottenham’s games this season actually bears out how Spurs’ are in a slightly false position given their performances. Expected goals is a stat that calculates how much a team should have scored in each game based on the quality of their chances.

While the stat certainly has its shortcomings, it does seem to indicate that Tottenham’s performances this season have not matched their results.

According to talkSPORT, in the alternate table calculated through expected goals, Spurs sit in 4th position with 46.63 points compared to the 60 points they have managed to accumulate so far this season.

The alternate table also shows that Liverpool and Manchester City with 58.73 points and 63.34 points respectively have been the two best performing teams in the League this year as they sit well clear of the chasing pack.

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