Who else feels as though this is going to be a stressful afternoon?
Currently in the league, the hosts sit 13th in the table with 32 points on the board. A concerning statistic for sides yet to make the trip to Turf Moor is that despite their bottom half position, Burnley have one of the strongest home records in the league. The Clarets have been somewhat reliant on their home form this season, having gathered 29 of their 32 points from their 14 home matches so far during the campaign. In a league table of home games, just five teams are able to boast a greater points tally. Burnley are 6th on 29 points, level with Arsenal in 5th. The top 4 is composed of Liverpool (4th), Everton (3rd) and Chelsea in second place with 36 points. Tottenham rest at the top of this table as the only side in the Premier League unbeaten at home, with a 5 point gap over Chelsea in second.
Clearly, Burnley, in this fixture, are not to be underestimated. In their first home game of the season, a naive Liverpool side fell to a 2-0 defeat and Arsenal had to bypass a few laws to get their late, dramatic winner just a few weeks later. League leaders Chelsea only managed a 1-1 draw here in February and I have the feeling its going to be a similar scoreline on the 1st of April when Tottenham make the visit.
In the reverse fixture at the Lane, Burnley rushed to a 1-0 lead midway through the first half, but were immediately pegged back to 1-1 through a strike from Dele Alli just 6 minutes later. The winning goal eventually came from that man Danny Rose in the 71st minute to ensure a very hard fought victory for the Lilywhites. If at home this was uncomfortable, then away this will be a very fascinating match-up. Tottenham haven’t won on the road since the very first day of 2017, in a 4-1 dismantling of Watford at Vicarage Road, a statistic we’ll want to see the back of.
I’m not sure if this Burnley side is strong enough to undo our defence and silence our attack, on the field. On paper, Tottenham have conceded the joint fewest goals this season (21), while Burnley themselves have scored just 31, the lowest goal-scoring tally outside of the relegation zone. They’re capable of anything at home though. Only 9 of those goals weren’t scored in front of their own fans. My heart tells me this will be a narrow 2-1 victory for Spurs, but my head tells me this will finish 1-1. Vokes to open to the scoring and Dele Alli to continue his fine goal-scoring form by levelling the tie.
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